Praying for a Pullback

If you’re an investor, you should pray for a pullback.

Nothing earth-shattering, of course. Just a nice, orderly few days with stocks in the red.

What you need is a buying opportunity. More to the point, you’re looking to pick up some shares without feeling like you’re a dog chasing your neighbor’s Mustang down the street.

Don’t fret — the market understands. Stocks won’t move straight up forever. In fact, they’re showing early signs that a minor top is on the way in short order.

It’s all about bullish momentum…

Peak Bulls vs. Peak Momentum

This is a look at the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index. The big middle section of this chart shows the percentage of stocks in the S&P that are currently displaying a longer-term technical buy signal. After retreating in October and November, the index is now showing that nearly 80% of its components are flashing buy signals.

But the real story lies in the top momentum gauge. Each time the index has heated up to extreme levels since the 2011 bottom, it has provided a nifty little short-term sell warning (red arrows). You can see the corresponding minor tops on the S&P on the bottom chart. We’re seeing these extreme levels again right now. Therefore, a momentum drop below 70 will be your first clue that this move will stall out — at least, temporarily.

The drop will be your chance to look for buying opportunities. But planning is required. Decide what names you like and have them ready. That way, when the time comes, you can quickly capitalize on the price action.

Greg Guenthner
for The Daily Reckoning

You May Also Be Interested In:

The Surge Continues – Try the Stovetop Roasted Chicken

ROOOOAAAAR!!! Stocks continue to surge as the algo’s go wild… this even after all of the chaos in DC that rocked the capitol building on Wednesday evening – Why? Because everyone thinks that the prospect of more stimulus and a big infrastructure plan coupled with the stability of a Biden Presidency is enough to send stocks surging – and as long as that is the narrative – then guess what? Stocks will surge, until they don’t…

Greg Guenthner

Greg Guenthner, CMT, is the editor of Opening Bell Fortunes and Seven Figure Signals. He has been with Agora Financial/Seven Figure Publishing since 2005. In 2019, the average position in Greg’s Sunrise Fortunes portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 1.65x.

View More By Greg Guenthner