3 Simple Questions to Steer Your Investment Decisions

Stocks tumble, falling deeper into the red for the year. When the dust settled, the broad market posted its biggest loss since November.

Don’t panic. The financial media has it all figured out…

You see, the S&P dropped yesterday on “valuation concerns”. At least, that’s what the folks at Bloomberg would lead you to believe. I can only assume the resourceful staff hit the phones and polled every single investor who dumped stocks. Either that, or they needed a good excuse to work in the recent Goldman Sachs note that calls the valuation of the S&P 500 “lofty by almost any measure”.

Are the valuation concerns true? Perhaps. But the reality of the situation is we have a market trading near the top of its range. Stocks needed a break. Even if we see additional downside action, the market tells us to continue viewing potential trades through a bullish lens.

Here’s what you do:

Allow relative strength to guide your trades. What worked last year? What’s working this year?

What has changed?

S&P 500 Sectors: FY 2013 vs. YTD 2014

The chart says it all. Steer clear of telecoms — and ride health care and financial names.

“Outperformance has come from Financials at the sector level, the Pharma, Biotech & Life Sciences and Real Estate industry groups, and the Airlines industry,” explains Bespoke Investment Group. “Most segments that would traditionally suffer in a slow market.”


Greg Guenthner
for The Daily Reckoning

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Greg Guenthner

Greg Guenthner, CMT, is the editor of Opening Bell Fortunes and Seven Figure Signals. He has been with Agora Financial/Seven Figure Publishing since 2005. In 2019, the average position in Greg’s Sunrise Fortunes portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 1.65x.

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